A statistical curiosity

Provoked by a suggestion from Nitzakhon, I went back to the beginning of the CoVID injection process to find the history of serious adverse events. The CDC’s Wonder research tool only allows you to group these reports by month, not by week. Here are the results.

The shape of these curves is troubling. I work with many such data sets in my research, covering many different fields of study. The typical shape is what we call unimodal. That means as you scan the picture from left to right, it goes up for a while, and then it starts falling, so there is one clear peak to the curve. It may ascend quickly or slowly; it may descend quickly or slowly. For events like a pandemic, you may see a quick rise followed by a slow fall.

These curves do not seem to have that shape. They seem abnormally flat from May through September. I have two possible explanations.

  1. The CDC and the medical establishment is suppressing adverse event reporting, as we know. They may allow a slow stream of adverse event reports to trickle out, to relieve some of the social pressure and cover their censorship of the true facts. However, the true numbers are enormous and are being hidden deliberately.
  2. Alternatively, the unimodal shape is there, and we are near the peak. It’s just stretched out so far horizontally that we cannot perceive the peak. Thus, we can expect deaths to continue for years to come to be reported at the current rate.

I will update this graph in mid-November once the October totals are finalized. I do not expect to see much change.

Those of you who read Isaac Asimov’s Foundation trilogy may recall that the existence of an unnatural phenomenon was revealed when the psychohistorians examined the graphs of their data and found an unexpected convergence and control that was not usually present in random data. This is the kind of “tell” I am looking for.

Related, from Nitzakhon: “Concealed Data: My BS Meter Pegs Out

https://granitegrok.com/blog/2021/10/concealed-data-my-bs-meter-pegs-out

Oh my God. A medical clinic really threatened to call the police on a mom who brought her sick child in for treatment, because he was not injected. Disgusting.

https://gab.com/RealRedElephants/posts/107144178095412975

Sharyl Attkisson reporting: “CENSORED: Injured Covid-19 vaccine child study volunteer” The story is sad; the 30-second video was heart-wrenching, seeing the pain of that child. Vimeo deleted the video at Comcast’s request, if I understand right. EVIL!

https://sharylattkisson.com/2021/10/censored-injured-covid-19-vaccine-child-study-volunteer/

The video is now here.

https://odysee.com/@VSRF:d/maddieaddenied:3

I found the video at the Vaccine Safety Research Foundation.

https://www.vacsafety.org/

“We’re just kids … We’re not meant to be locked down for nearly 300 days” – Melbourne teens warn of lockdown’s effects on mental health” The western world’s longest lockdown – for your own good of course! This demographic is least vulnerable to CoVID.

https://www.naturalnews.com/2021-10-22-melbourne-teenagers-lockdown-effects-on-mental-health.html

Biden regime intentionally disrupting supply chains to punish unvaccinated Americans” Oh, they wouldn’t do that! “Wally Adeyemo, who currently works as fake “president” Joe Biden’s Deputy Treasury Secretary, may have accidentally told the truth – or they just do not care anymore if people know the truth – that the only way things are going to get back to “normal” economically speaking is if all Americans agree to roll up their sleeves. “The reality is the only way we’re going to get to a place where we work through this transition is if everyone in America and everyone around the world gets vaccinated,” Adeyemo told ABC News. The apparent plan is to starve out the country and make life as miserable as possible until the unvaccinated get tired of holding out and comply. If or until then, the Biden regime plans to withhold “the resources the American people need to make it to the other side,” Adeyemo admitted.”

https://www.naturalnews.com/2021-10-22-biden-intentionally-disrupting-supply-chains-punish-unvaccinated.html

Great preparedness tips: “Preparing to THRIVE in the post-collapse economy: Scavenging, barter, off-grid food production and rescuing survivors” Watch the video about hydroponic gardening.

https://www.naturalnews.com/2021-10-22-preparing-to-thrive-in-the-post-collapse-economy-scavenging-barter-off-grid-food-production-and-rescuing-suvivors.html

Jordan Schachtel: “Are US Government Health institutions engaged in a massive gain-of-function cover-up?” Is the sky blue?

https://dossier.substack.com/p/whitewash-are-us-government-health

Very good reporting from Sharyl Attkisson: “Amish Covid: ‘No hospitalization, isolation or vaccines = herd immunity’” Watch the embedded 5:38 video. The so-called “plain people” put most of us “religious believers” to shame with their real faith. This reminds me of one of the beatitudes: “The meek shall inherit the earth.” This may be a prophecy whose fulfillment we shall live to witness.

https://sharylattkisson.com/2021/10/amish-covid-no-hospitalization-isolation-or-vaccines-herd-immunity/

Did CBS just admit there is a supply chain problem?

Shipping Costs Surge: $17,000 to Ship Container to California from Asia, Up from $3,800 in 2020

https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2021/10/21/shipping-costs-surge-california-asia/

Paul Joseph Watson: “Here we go again” Citing “the weaponization of behavioral psychology”.

I thought science was real? “Reps Greene and Banks censored by Twitter for saying Rachel Levine is a ‘man’

https://thepostmillennial.com/reps-greene-banks-censored-twitter-rachel-levine

White House delays release of JFK assassination files “to protect against identifiable harm”” Harm to the reputation of the Secret Service?

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jfk-assassination-files-release-delayed-white-house/

America could, if it wanted, punish Mexico for not enforcing its own southern border. If we wanted.

“No Jab, No Job” – Aussie Supermarkets Demands 300K Workers Must Get Vaccinated Or Find Work Elsewhere

https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/no-jab-no-job-aussie-supermarkets-demands-300k-workers-must-get-vaccinated-or-find-work

With A Record 79 Container Ships Waiting Off The SoCal Coast, A Scary Supply-Chain Solution Emerges

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/record-79-container-ships-waiting-socal-coast-scary-supply-chain-solution-emerges

Some Questions About America’s “Wealth”” These are great questions on the Daily Reckoning. What is your true non-financial wealth?

https://dailyreckoning.com/some-questions-about-americas-wealth/

Parts Shortages Hit Auto Repair Shops, Taking Weeks To Fix Vehicles

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/auto-repair-shops-hit-part-shortages-takes-weeks-fix-vehicles

AIER: “Why Authoritarianism Must Prevail” “Freedom anywhere is a threat to authoritarianism everywhere. That is why authoritarians must destroy all freedom and why liberty lovers, and even the merely “lib-curious” (liberty curious), must not just resist blatant authoritarianism, but reject it in all its guises. The fate of the nation, and the world, again hangs in the balance.”

https://www.aier.org/article/why-authoritarianism-must-prevail/

The Frightened Class” “They’re all around us, especially those of us who live in relatively prosperous metropolitan neighborhoods in the US or Western Europe. Despite being—at least in material terms—among the most fortunate people who have ever walked the earth, they are very scared. And they want you to be very frightened too. Indeed, many of them see your refusal to be as frightened as they are about life’s inevitable risks as a grave problem which entitles them and their often powerful and influential fellow travelers to recur to all manner of authoritarian practices to insure that you adhere to their increasingly neurotic view of reality.”

https://brownstone.org/articles/the-frightened-class/

A Chicago pizzeria said it temporarily closed because of the labor shortage, costing it $5,000. Its owner said job applicants weren’t turning up to interviews.” What happened to the applicants, I wonder.

https://www.businessinsider.com/labor-shortage-worker-servers-chicago-illinois-restaurant-pizzeria-lost-money-2021-10?amp

Poland Will Not Be ‘Blackmailed’ Into Accepting European Union Laws, PM Morawiecki Says” I have advocated several times for the secession of the Three Seas Initiative 12 nations from the EU.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/poland-will-not-be-blackmailed-into-accepting-european-union-laws-pm-morawiecki-says_4062805.html?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=ZeroHedge

A Nation of Imposters” He is only criticizing the Fed. The judicial system. The media. The…

https://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2021/10/a-nation-of-imposters.html

Egon von Greyerz: “SHORTAGES & HYPERINFLATION LEAD TO TOTAL MISERY” Great history of inflation and gold. I don’t agree that gold is 92% undervalued.

https://goldswitzerland.com/shortages-hyperinflation-lead-to-total-misery/

The Often-Overlooked Facts About Covid-19” “Millions of Americans sacrificed, fought, and died for the right of every man, woman, and child to pursue their happiness, free of tyranny over mind and body. The United States government is instituted to guarantee that right and to serve the people and not the other way around… “You do not shun people, ban them from public spaces, mock them as idiots, deny them gainful employment…out of concern for their well-being.””

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2021/10/the_oftenoverlooked_facts_about_covid19_.html

The gaslighting of America” The blatant, in-your-face lies.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/10/the_gaslighting_of_america.html

A separation, if we can keep it” “Those actively breaking down the social order to create a new definition of what our country will be are telling the rest to surrender.  Just go along; do as you are told; accept the inevitable.  You will assimilate.  It will be less painful that way.”

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/10/a_separation_if_we_can_keep_it.html

White House Wants Easier Path for ‘Climate Migrants’: Climate Security Reports” Don’t worry, there are only 7 billion of them!

https://www.theepochtimes.com/white-house-wants-easier-path-for-climate-migrants-climate-security-reports_4062099.html?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=ZeroHedge

Intelligence agency warns that China is creating global genetic database with Covid test kits and biotech firm buy-ups that could give it dominance over U.S. healthcare industry and a decisive military edge” And we are helping them.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10120721/Officials-warn-Chinas-technology-dominance-decisive-military-edge-U-S.html

Vindicated Rand Paul Blasts Lying Fauci Over “Civilization-ending” Experiments

https://summit.news/2021/10/22/video-vindicated-rand-paul-blasts-lying-fauci-over-civilization-ending-experiments/

Arizona seeks temporary restraining order to stop Biden vaccine mandate” A shot across the bow – or a shot heard ’round the world?

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/arizona-temporary-restraining-order-stop-biden-vaccine-mandate

Crabby Marylanders Want Out” Actually, no, it’s the mountain Marylanders who want to join West Virginia. I wish them well!

https://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2021/10/22/longshot-western-maryland-attempts-secession-n1526151

Bipartisan Letter from Congress Demands Answers from Fauci on Why Taxpayers Funded Experiments on Puppies” I hate what he did to the puppies. But he also killed 600,000 humans. Let’s remember our priorities.

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/rebeccadowns/2021/10/23/bipartisan-letter-from-congress-demands-answers-from-fauci-on-why-taxpayers-funded-experiments-on-puppies-with-vocal-cords-cut-out-n2597933

Vaccine Mandate Wrecking Balls Are Tearing the Country Apart” That is an understatement.

https://townhall.com/columnists/jonathanemord/2021/10/23/vaccine-mandate-wrecking-balls-are-tearing-the-country-apart-n2597917

GOP Continues To Push Back Against Joe Biden’s Vaccine Mandate” Keep pushing! The momentum is on our side, the more adverse events there are.

https://www.oann.com/gop-continues-to-push-back-against-joe-bidens-vaccine-mandate/

Hell Awaits The Minions Of The NWO” 5:36 of AJ explaining the anti-human agenda of transnational transhumanism, as I once called it.

https://banned.video/watch?id=61742a48644bf61287374050

I think Chuck posted this video link in the comments. It’s great – Dr. Jordan Peterson at his peak. “Reality and the Sacred

Dr. Geert vanden Bossche: “Why can’t C-19 vaccine mandates be taken seriously?” “…widespread deployment of current Covid-19 vaccines in large-scale vaccination campaigns should first and foremost be considered highly experimental and empirical in terms of the efficacy and safety … outcome as well as in terms of the impact on individual and public health. Because the experimental use of current Covid-19 vaccines raises serious concerns regarding their effectiveness and their potential to cause serious harm to both individuals and the public at large, one can only conclude that vaccination mandates are completely unethical.”

https://www.geertvandenbossche.org/post/why-are-the-current-covid-19-mass-vaccinations-to-be-considered-a-public-health-experiment

Ron DeSantis Announces Florida’s Job Growth Rate Is 3X the National Rate” Good start for the man I hope will be the next president.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/10/23/ron-desantis-announces-floridas-job-growth-rate-is-3x-the-national-rate/

Deleted Government Report Celebrates How Public Loves to “Conform”” The contempt for those of us who pay their wages!

https://summit.news/2021/10/22/deleted-government-report-celebrates-how-public-loves-to-conform/

22-year-old Wisconsin newlywed healthcare worker says having only two seizures is a “good day” in the 10 months since second Pfizer mRNA injection” Awful.

https://thecovidblog.com/2021/10/23/shannon-olsen-22-year-old-wisconsin-newlywed-healthcare-worker-says-having-only-two-seizures-is-a-good-day-in-the-10-months-since-second-pfizer-mrna-injection/

So there is a scientific reason for cleanliness and order after all? “Could the Bubonic Plague Be the End Result of Progressive Urban Policies?

https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/stacey-lennox/2021/10/23/could-the-bubonic-plague-could-be-the-end-result-of-progressive-urban-policies-n1526361

Border Patrol To Fire Up To 5K Agents Over Vaccine Mandate” – which will really help our national security!

https://www.oann.com/border-patrol-to-fire-up-to-5k-agents-over-vaccine-mandate/

Are the US Supply Chain Disruptions Deliberate?” Brave question!

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/north_america/are-the-us-supply-chain-disruptions-deliberate/

Port Congestion Could Be Worse Than “Lehman Crash”, Flexport CEO Warns

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/port-congestion-worse-leman-crash-flexport-ceo-warns

“Welcome To The Hunger Games”: More Chicago Officers ‘Summoned’ As City Council Mulls Vax Mandate Reversal

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/welcome-hunger-games-more-chicago-officers-summoned-city-council-mulls-vax-mandate-reversal

What would have been different, other than the language, had America allowed Japan to conquer the Pacific?

And now for something completely different: “New Galaxy Images From the Most Powerful Telescopes Reveal a Fitful Start to the Universe

https://scitechdaily.com/new-galaxy-images-from-the-most-powerful-telescopes-reveal-a-fitful-start-to-the-universe/

See you tomorrow!

9 thoughts on “A statistical curiosity

  1. “Biden regime intentionally disrupting supply chains to punish unvaccinated Americans”
    UUUUHH–Wouldn’t they be punishing the good guys too, the vaccinated?

    Isn’t it more likely that they are keeping product from being priced, placed on a shelf and producing embarrassing inflation numbers? How can there be inflation data when you can’t buy anything?

    And when our rulers decide to take their boot off our necks, it wouldn’t be too difficult to allow those loaded cargo ships sitting off the Cali coast to come to port and offload, would it?

    Liked by 2 people

    1. The effects punish both Jabbed and unJabbed… punishing the unJabbed directly, and turning the Jabbed against the heretics, er, unJabbed for being “selfish” and not letting society return to normal because of this whole freedom thing.

      Liked by 3 people

    2. “Biden regime intentionally disrupting supply chains to punish unvaccinated Americans”
      UUUUHH–Wouldn’t they be punishing the good guys too, the vaccinated?

      Titles are designed to grab attention and to give a broad idea of the content of the text that follows, and as a result, they are often elliptical or telegraphic.

      The title you quote (which Surak, in turn, had quoted from another site) is not illogical but merely elliptical. The omitted step in the chain of reasoning is that the vассinated, having proven their credulity and obedience by taking the vассine, will follow the promptings of the regime and its media machine to blame the unvассinated for any delay in return to normal life.

      As you say, both sections of the population will suffer from the shortages, but the unvассinated will also suffer a heavy additional burden by serving as the regime’s scapegoat – the intention is that they will lose jobs, lose friends, their families will turn against them, they will be silenced for fear of being attacked verbally or physically, and if they are refused access to food stores, they may no longer have anyone left who’s willing to collect food on their behalf.

      That is the regime’s intention, but it may not work out that way because … Let’s Go Вrаndоn!

      Liked by 2 people

  2. “Our Teachers used to teach us about propaganda; now they teach it to us.”
    I don’t remember much about the biostatistics course during my undergraduate training, but one thing stuck: if the collection of data is unethical, then not only is the data skewed, any conclusion can be drawn which has the look of the truth (verisimilitude). Not only that, but partisan ideologues can get into positions of power (such as institutions that grant credentials) and rewrite the history our forefathers fought and died for. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XPfWThToClo
    I love the logo for Front Page Magazine: “inside every progressive is a totalitarian screaming to get out”. Even in the sedate era of the ‘70’s there was already a lot of shrieking at the student council debates and elections, with avowed Marxists criticizing the selfishness of the bourgeoisie. When you point the finger of blame (j’accuse!) there are three fingers pointing back at you. Now, they have come right out in the open with main-stream ideas like feminism (toxic femininity), affirmative action (no soup for you!), Critical Race Theory (reverse racism) and demonization of the vaccine-hesitant (second class citizens). Just like in ancient Rome. we are being divided and conquered (which was the motto of the German army at D Day). To illustrate, here is an example of the pathology of hubris, Nazi style https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lc8IGcCkKK0. If you are Jewish, please don’t watch this: you have suffered enough. The profane contaminating the sacred.

    Liked by 3 people

    1. Not being Jewish, I watched the video. I’m fairly certain the producers and camera-people who filmed this “public service announcement” looked for what they considered to be the worst of the worst, before they filmed anyone. Anti-Semitism was already official doctrine in the German government. To bring everyone else on board, their propagandists had to portray the Jewish people as dirty and subhuman. They accomplished their mission, in this little film.

      Liked by 3 people

  3. On data manipulation, with which I have no professional experiemce, evil or otherwise, I did have questions regarding the myocarditis rates and how they are being reported. Despite what some of what I write below may sound like, I believe the vax is dangerous and am worried, not only about myocarditis but many other adverse reactions, and am completely against their use for any healthy child.

    Dr Frank Han at some site calling itself sciencebasedmedicine, dated Sept 18 2021 rehashed an article by Singer et al. dated July 27 2021 which claimed that ‘Young males infected with the virus are up [sic] 6 times more likely to develop myocarditis as those who have received the vaccine.’ [I, of course, also make many typing mistakes but that one kept glaring at me]. Their data was collected from the TriNetX Research Network, which I have never heard of and do not know how it compares to, say VAERS or to the Vaccine Safety Datalink, which Han claims is superior to VAERS. Someone else at this sciencebasedmedicine site, Dr Jonathan Howard, has also raised issues with MIS-C myocarditis.

    Opposed to this is Hoeg et al posted on Sept 8. claiming that cardiac adverse events in a 120 day period are between 3.7 and 6.1 times higher than Covid hospitalization rate. Their work is based on VAERS data.

    I have more questions than I can write here. One is whether there is a good source for reading about the reliability of these different data sets, VAERS, TriNetX and VSD etc. Another is on just what Singer et al showed, or purported to show. Did the infected group only include unvaxxed? I only saw the abstract and was not sure, but maybe I missed it. Another is whether, more generally, such differing results are usual in this sort of data analysis. There are many more.

    Is there a good general data analysis source where such studies are compared? Any recommendations on reading material for an introduction to statistical data analysis?

    Liked by 1 person

    1. I don’t have a good website to recommend, Tom, but a few names jump to mind: Alex Berenson, and Dr. Jessica Rose. I think I linked Alex on my blogroll; I don’t remember about Jessica/

      Like

  4. Other than noticing that I spelled experience with an m, I was also wondering if it is likely that between Hoeg and Singer, that there could be a spate of media retorts both claiming a 6 times advantage in their argument until new crises may squeeze that one out of the limelight, at which point half the population may believe one thing and the other half the other, both saying they have the science on their side. Is that a common symptom of schisms?

    Like

  5. First, I am very glad to have provided a seed of thought for investigation – and I’m always glad to have my essays linked by you. 🙂

    1. Given multiple testimonies across the web, there is definitely an effort to squelch any connection between adverse events and the Jab. Thus, I will state my agreement with your first explanation. I cited one example in my latest piece (which, I assume, you will link to in another post or two) but for your readers:

    https://granitegrok.com/blog/2021/10/our-children-the-hill-to-die-on

    This anecdote was told to me by a former military friend of mine whom I trust implicitly:

    “Had a good talk with my neighbor. His son, mid-20’s, a mountain climber in excellent condition, died of a massive heart attack just two days after his second jab. They did a legally required autopsy and found massive blood clots in his heart. The coroner REFUSED to list the vaccine as “cause of death”. The neighbor was furious and demanded that the vaccine be listed as “cause of death”. He was escorted out of the coroner’s office and warned that if he continued, he’d be arrested.”

    2. How does anyone with children not look at that 13 year old girl and not get a cold grip around their heart?

    3. As I understand it, not sure where I saw it, the NIH is slowly deep-sixing any mention of Gain of Function.

    4. “And he causes all, small and great, old and young, rich and poor to have the mark… and none may buy or sell save they have the mark”. Or something like that.

    Liked by 3 people

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